NAV Incinerator

Amy Arnott from Morningstar took a hatchet to the YieldMax Ultra Option Income Strategy ETF (ULTY). If you click through to the fund's website, this is waiting for you;

The fund blends stocks of varying volatility profiles and then sells call spreads to generate a whopper of an "income." A derivative income fund that yields 20% should not be expected to keep up with its distributions so at 60%;

The other day, I talked about crazy high yielders incinerating NAV, 60% would do it. When we dig into depletion/bridging strategy theory, part of what we are trying to assess is whether some sort of higher yielding portfolio would last longer than just leaving the money in a savings account and spending as needed. 

As a simplified example, someone has $120,000 and wants to spend $2000/mo for 60 months until they start taking Social Security at their preferred age of 67, all the while letting the IRA account grow. They could leave it in cash and then start Social Security in the 61st month after the $120,000 is depleted. 

If five years ago, this person put the $120,000 into 50% cat bonds and 50% T-bills willing to be at zero in the account after 60 months, they are a little better than that, they still have nine months of their desired withdrawal amount which gives them optionality to delay Social Security a few months or do something else with the remaining $19,000. Is that worth it? I think so but to each his own.

If instead of SHRIX/T-bills, the $120,000 was split between SHRIX and covered call fund SPXX, they would have had the optionality to extend two years beyond the original five period where they were willing to have the smaller account zero out and start Social Security.

In the context of a bridge strategy, these two examples aren't very aggressive and there is a basis to believe the above could work. Not so with ULTY.

If someone owns ULTY and reinvesting the distributions, why would anyone endure that kind of volatility for a total return of 2%, it doesn't make sense. If they are taking the distributions, the starting dollar value from when the fund first started has gone from $10,000 to $4635 at the start of 2025. So in 2024 they got $5365 in "income," then in the second year they got close to 60% again from the greatly reduced value, $2704 of income in 2025. So far in 2026, the "income" taken in is $562 and the current value of the position is $1357. The fund has already had one reverse split and it has a lot of assets so the fund can probably endure. While a small slice, 5% or less, could fit into an aggressive high "income" bridge strategy, we've looked at several examples lately where this can be done without an NAV incinerator. 

Another ROC-centric fund popped up on my radar, the Goldman Sachs S&P 500 Premium Income ETF (GPIX). It's just shy of three years old but it looks like about 90% of its distributions have been ROC. So far it is performed noticeably better than Neos S&P 500 High Yield Income (SPYI). With the upcoming merger, I'm not sure what will happen with these two but they are both huge, $5 billion for GPIX and $11 billion for SPYI.

Whether GPIX is a good fund, bad or meh, it is not an NAV incinerator. 

The information, analysis and opinions expressed herein reflect our judgment and opinions as of the date of writing and are subject to change at any time without notice. They are not intended to constitute legal, tax, securities or investment advice or a recommended course of action in any given situation.